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Updated 10:48 17/08/17

Alistair Darling warns on stability of UK economy 10 years after the financial crisis

09 Aug 2017 By Peter Walden

Ten years ago to the day since the start of the financial crisis, former chancellor Alistair Darling, who navigated the UK through the 2008 recession, has warned regulators not to be complacent about the stability of the economy.

On the 9th August 2007, French bank BNP Paribas froze three large hedge funds that specialised in the US sub-prime mortgage market, justified by their inability to calculate the funds values amidst growing concerns over liquidity. This turned out to be just the tip of the iceberg.

The financial system across Europe and the United States was on the brink of collapse as banks around the world stopped lending to each other. Billions of pounds of taxpayers money was used in an attempt to sure up the banks, and the crisis triggered the first run on a UK bank in 150 years as the government rushed to bailout Northern Rock, and later on the Royal Bank of Scotland.

Customers queued outside Northern Rock to withdraw their savings. The closure of the BNP Paribas funds sparked a sharp rise of the cost of credit for all banks, on which Northern Rock had been heavily reliant on to allow them to offer the lowest mortgage rates on the market to risky, high 'loan-to-value' customers, almost 20% of which had been written off in the first half of 2007.

“In the early stages it looked (like) there was just a problem with Northern Rock,” said Darling. “However, it became clear as we went through August of 2007 that more and more banks were becoming reluctant to lend to each other - which was extraordinary at that time - and that there was a more deep-seated problem.”

The economy was starting to collapse. A year later Lehman Brothers posted losses of $3.93 billion in the third quarter of 2008, blaming heavy write-downs on toxic mortgages. This in turn caused its share price to fall 52% in just two days. Despite a bailout attempt the US Treasury refused, having already bailed out Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008 with $619 billion in debt.

Ten years on from the worst financial crisis since the 1930’s, former chancellor Alastair Darling has sent a stark warning that regulators cannot afford to be complacent about the stability of the British economy. Darling stated that the “massive uncertainty” caused by Brexit, combined with mounting consumer debt should start to raise “alarm bells”. Darling went on to highlight the next interest rate rise as pivotal, explaining that “When interest rates go up, and they will go up, if not this year then certainly next year, and suddenly people find they are going to be paying more in their monthly payments, that’s when you need to watch out.”

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